Falkirk vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
RAI
2 - 2
FAL
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
HIB
2 - 2
FAL
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FAL
3 - 2
STM
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
QOS
2 - 2
FAL
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 2
LIV
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
HIB
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
STM
3 - 1
GRE
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
LIV
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DUM
0 - 0
GRE
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
RAI
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |