Falkirk vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 0
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CWB
0 - 2
FAL
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 0
HAM
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
LIV
0 - 1
FAL
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
FAL
0 - 0
ALL
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
QOS
22%
25%
54%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LIV
0 - 1
GRE
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 0
RAI
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
DUM
2 - 0
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 0
GRE
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |