Falkirk vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
FAL
3 - 0
STI
72%
17%
12%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FAL
3 - 2
AYR
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
FAL
36%
28%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FAL
2 - 3
RAI
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
QOS
0 - 0
FAL
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ELG
5 - 7
ARB
38%
23%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
QUE
1 - 3
ELG
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ELG
2 - 1
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BER
3 - 3
ELG
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ELG
1 - 2
BLA
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |