Falkirk vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BRE
0 - 1
FAL
17%
24%
59%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
COV
1 - 3
FAL
41%
23%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
FAL
3 - 1
BRE
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 3
LIV
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
FAL
3 - 1
ICT
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
DUM
0 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TNS
1 - 2
DUM
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 0
DUM
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 0
DUM
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
PET
2 - 3
DUM
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |