Falkirk vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ALL
0 - 0
FAL
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FAL
2 - 1
QOS
41%
25%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
RAI
1 - 1
FAL
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
FAL
0 - 5
ABE
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FAL
3 - 1
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
DUM
1 - 4
DUN
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
DUM
2 - 4
RAI
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
QOS
1 - 2
DUM
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DUM
1 - 2
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 2
DUM
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |