Falkirk vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HIB
0 - 1
FAL
45%
26%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 2
FAL
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 2
GLA
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CWB
2 - 2
FAL
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 3
FAL
20%
23%
58%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CWB
0 - 3
ALL
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LIV
2 - 1
CWB
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CWB
2 - 2
FAL
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
CLY
1 - 2
CWB
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
CWB
1 - 3
BRE
70%
17%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |