Falkirk vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
5 - 2
FAL
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AIR
0 - 2
FAL
30%
25%
46%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STE
1 - 1
FAL
10%
16%
75%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 3
FAL
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 1
PAR
53%
23%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
QUE
1 - 1
AYR
32%
26%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 1
PAR
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AYR
3 - 2
RAI
51%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
AYR
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 0
RAI
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |