Falkenbergs vs Umeå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkenbergs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FAL
4 - 0
IFK
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DEG
1 - 3
FAL
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
FAL
2 - 4
GIF
34%
25%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
HIF
0 - 0
FAL
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
ATV
4 - 0
FAL
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
UME
2 - 1
AKR
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BOD
1 - 3
UME
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
UME
1 - 0
VAS
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BKF
0 - 2
UME
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
UME
4 - 0
SYR
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |