Falkenbergs vs Torns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
8º
1º
31
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 65 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 47 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 44 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 44 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 40 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 40 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 39 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 38 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 36 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 33 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 32 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 21 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 80% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkenbergs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 2
FAL
13%
21%
67%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
TIK
2 - 3
FAL
9%
18%
73%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FAL
3 - 0
ESK
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OBK
2 - 2
FAL
8%
18%
74%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FAL
0 - 1
NOR
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Torns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
OBK
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
TOR
4 - 2
JON
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 0
TOR
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
TVA
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LJU
0 - 0
TOR
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |