Falkenbergs vs Oskarshamns AIK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
8º
1º
16
2º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 66 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 57 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 49 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 48 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 45 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 44 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 43 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 42 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 40 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 39 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 31 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
86% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 43.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkenbergs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
FAL
5 - 0
TOR
77%
15%
7%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 2
FAL
13%
21%
67%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
TIK
2 - 3
FAL
9%
18%
73%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FAL
3 - 0
ESK
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OBK
2 - 2
FAL
8%
18%
74%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Oskarshamns AIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
OSK
1 - 1
ANG
42%
24%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 1
OSK
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
OSK
2 - 2
LBK
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
OBK
2 - 3
OSK
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
OSK
52%
23%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |