Falkenbergs vs Onsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.4%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.1%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
8º
1º
17
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 68 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 60 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 49 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 46 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 22 |
16º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
94% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkenbergs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
1 - 0
TIK
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
0 - 2
LAN
47%
23%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LBK
0 - 1
FAL
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 0
TVA
77%
16%
8%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 2
FAL
14%
21%
65%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Onsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OBK
1 - 2
JON
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TIK
3 - 1
OBK
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OBK
2 - 1
TOR
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
5 - 0
OBK
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
OBK
2 - 2
TRO
19%
23%
57%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |