Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 2-3
Falcon FC vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 2
FFC
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FFC
1 - 0
ALA
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SER
1 - 3
FFC
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
FFC
4 - 1
CAR
65%
19%
17%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 0
FFC
61%
22%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 0
GLO
80%
15%
6%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 1
SOU
33%
28%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 2
SOU
44%
29%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 1
SAN
37%
29%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |