Falcon FC vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 1
FFC
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AFP
0 - 2
FFC
42%
24%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FFC
4 - 1
AME
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ATG
1 - 3
FFC
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
FFC
0 - 1
ITA
21%
22%
56%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 0
SER
87%
10%
4%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
3 - 0
SER
72%
18%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
LAG
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
SER
0 - 5
CRZ
9%
22%
69%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
CRB
9%
20%
72%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |