Fakel vs Zenit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
FAK
6 - 0
CHN
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
FAK
1 - 1
TYU
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1996 |
ENE
1 - 2
FAK
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1996 |
ELI
1 - 2
FAK
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1996 |
FAK
0 - 1
TOR
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
ZEN
1 - 2
SPA
14%
22%
64%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1996 |
KRS
1 - 0
ZEN
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
ZEN
2 - 0
LNN
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
TKA
2 - 0
ZEN
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
ZEN
2 - 1
LAD
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |