Fakel vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 2
FAK
21%
26%
53%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FAK
1 - 1
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
TAM
0 - 2
FAK
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
FAK
1 - 0
DIN
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 2
FAK
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
ZEN
0 - 0
KAL
39%
28%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ZEN
2 - 1
AVA
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
ZEN
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
ZEN
1 - 1
TAM
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DIN
0 - 0
ZEN
53%
25%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |