Fakel vs Torpedo Moscow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LOK
1 - 1
FAK
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
FAK
1 - 0
ZEN
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 4
FAK
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
FAK
4 - 2
ORE
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
TAM
2 - 2
FAK
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Torpedo Moscow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 3
DIN
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SPA
3 - 1
TOR
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
NIK
0 - 1
TOR
9%
20%
72%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 0
TOR
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 3
KRA
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |