Fakel vs Rubin Kazán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
48%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
14º
16º
16º
11
3º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 66 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 62 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 59 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 57 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 54 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 54 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 44 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 37 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 33 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 33 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 32 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 27 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 21 |
16º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
64.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ZEN
3 - 1
FAK
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
AKT
2 - 0
FAK
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FAK
0 - 0
OLY
44%
29%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
4 - 1
FAK
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
FAK
0 - 2
FCR
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rubin Kazán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 1
CSK
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
ZEN
2 - 0
FCR
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 2
KRS
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 0
FCR
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
FAK
0 - 2
FCR
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |