Fakel vs Metalurg Lypetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
LOK
1 - 1
FAK
23%
25%
51%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2013 |
FAK
0 - 0
MET
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
POD
1 - 1
FAK
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 4
FAK
30%
27%
42%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
FAK
1 - 1
SPA
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Metalurg Lypetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
MET
0 - 0
ZEN
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2013 |
AVA
1 - 0
MET
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
MET
2 - 0
VIT
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |