Fakel vs Metallurg Lipetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VYB
0 - 3
FAK
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
FAK
4 - 0
POD
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 1
FAK
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
FAK
1 - 0
KAL
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
DIN
1 - 3
FAK
57%
25%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MET
1 - 2
LOK
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
ZEN
0 - 1
MET
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MET
2 - 1
ARS
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
ORE
0 - 0
MET
14%
21%
64%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
TAM
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |