Fakel vs Kaluga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 1
FAK
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
FAK
2 - 2
FKG
27%
26%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 1
FAK
75%
17%
8%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
FAK
3 - 0
KOS
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
FAK
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
KAL
1 - 0
SPA
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
KAL
2 - 0
TOR
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
FKG
2 - 0
KAL
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
KAL
2 - 1
ZEN
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
KAL
1 - 2
MET
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |