Fakel vs FK Krasnodar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
63.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
14º
16º
15º
21
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 66 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 62 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 58 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 57 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 54 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 53 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 44 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 37 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 34 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 33 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 27 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 27 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15.5% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
61.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ZEN
3 - 0
FAK
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FAK
0 - 2
AKT
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 1
FAK
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FAK
2 - 2
FCR
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FAK
2 - 1
ARS
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FK Krasnodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
KRA
1 - 0
CSK
39%
25%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KRA
0 - 0
DMK
75%
18%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TER
1 - 1
KRA
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ZEN
4 - 2
KRA
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KRA
3 - 2
FCR
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |