Fakel vs Gubkin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
AVA
4 - 1
FAK
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
FAK
2 - 0
SOK
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
FAK
1 - 0
MET
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
ARS
4 - 1
FAK
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
FAK
3 - 1
VIT
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
FKG
0 - 1
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
FKG
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
FKG
2 - 0
SPA
63%
21%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
FCM
1 - 1
FKG
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
FKG
1 - 0
ORE
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |