Fakel vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
26.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
11º
30
7º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ZEN
2 - 0
FAK
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 2
FAK
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
FAK
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
FAK
1 - 4
LOK
17%
24%
59%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
FAK
1 - 3
SOC
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 0
TER
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
5 - 4
OLY
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
KRA
1 - 0
OLY
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
URA
0 - 0
OLY
57%
26%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
DIN
21%
22%
57%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |