Fakel vs Baltika Kaliningrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ZEN
1 - 0
FAK
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FAK
0 - 0
ROT
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
KHI
1 - 1
FAK
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
FAK
2 - 1
VEN
17%
20%
63%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
TAM
3 - 0
FAK
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Baltika Kaliningrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 0
SPA
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
YAR
1 - 0
BAL
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 1
AVA
35%
29%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 1
KAI
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SOC
4 - 1
BAL
75%
17%
7%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |