Fakel vs Avangard Kursk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
29.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
FAK
0 - 2
SAL
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
FAK
2 - 0
ORE
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
FAK
0 - 2
KUB
22%
28%
51%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
TER
1 - 3
FAK
70%
20%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
DMK
1 - 0
FAK
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
KUB
1 - 0
AVA
68%
21%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
MOR
2 - 0
AVA
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
AVA
2 - 1
DMK
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
AVA
3 - 4
TER
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
LAD
2 - 2
AVA
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |