Fakel vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
71.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FAK
0 - 3
KHI
21%
27%
52%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 0
FAK
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
FAK
1 - 1
YEN
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
TEK
1 - 4
FAK
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FAK
0 - 0
AVA
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 1
URA
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
ZEN
3 - 1
ARS
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 2
CSK
37%
28%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 1
GAZ
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
FCR
1 - 0
ARS
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |