Fakel Reservas vs FK Orenburg Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+141%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
5º
1º
1
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
22 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 19 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
FRE
4 - 0
UMO
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 0
KSS
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
NIZ
1 - 1
FRE
19%
21%
60%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
TOR
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
ORE
0 - 1
FRE
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FK Orenburg Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
ORE
1 - 5
KUB
8%
15%
77%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 0
ORE
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
ORE
1 - 2
TER
13%
19%
68%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
SCH
4 - 1
ORE
82%
13%
5%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
ORE
0 - 1
FRE
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |