Fajr Sepasi vs Naft Abadan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
PER
2 - 3
FAJ
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
FAJ
3 - 0
ZOB
41%
30%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
FAJ
0 - 0
SAB
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SHA
0 - 0
FAJ
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
FAJ
0 - 0
ZOB
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Naft Abadan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 2
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
SAI
2 - 2
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAT
51%
26%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |