Fajr Sepasi vs Naft Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
30.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2011 |
HOR
0 - 4
FAJ
32%
30%
38%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
FAJ
2 - 0
HOR
53%
28%
20%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
DAM
3 - 2
FAJ
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
FAJ
2 - 0
GOH
63%
25%
13%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
NAF
1 - 0
FAJ
29%
30%
42%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Naft Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 1
NAT
46%
29%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
NAT
1 - 2
ZOB
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
RAH
1 - 0
NAT
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
NAT
1 - 5
PER
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
SAI
0 - 0
NAT
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |