Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
20.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
FAG
2 - 0
GIR
47%
28%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MIT
2 - 3
FAG
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FAG
2 - 2
KYO
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FAG
2 - 1
JEF
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
REN
1 - 1
FAG
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TOK
0 - 1
MAC
24%
27%
49%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TOK
1 - 0
TOK
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ROA
1 - 0
TOK
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
KAM
2 - 1
TOK
39%
30%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TOK
1 - 0
CON
38%
29%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |