Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
YOK
2 - 1
FAG
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
KAT
0 - 0
FAG
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
FAG
0 - 1
TOC
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SHO
3 - 1
FAG
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
TOK
4 - 1
FAG
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TOK
2 - 0
MIT
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
TOK
0 - 1
HON
73%
16%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
GIF
1 - 1
TOK
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
TOK
0 - 1
VEN
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 1
TOK
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |