Fagiano Okayama vs Tokushima Vortis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
OMI
3 - 0
FAG
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
FAG
1 - 1
VVA
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
FAG
2 - 0
KYO
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
GIR
2 - 3
FAG
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
FAG
1 - 2
EHI
48%
27%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
TOK
0 - 1
GIR
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
KYO
0 - 1
TOK
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
THE
2 - 1
TOK
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
TOK
2 - 1
JEF
25%
27%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
CER
1 - 0
TOK
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |