Fagiano Okayama vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
OIT
2 - 2
FAG
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
FAG
4 - 2
OMI
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
FAG
0 - 2
ROA
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MIT
1 - 1
FAG
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
FAG
1 - 0
RYK
54%
25%
20%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 2
KYO
21%
26%
53%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
JEF
0 - 1
TOC
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
TOC
0 - 1
TOK
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
TOC
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 1
GRU
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |