Fagiano Okayama vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
KYO
2 - 4
FAG
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FAG
2 - 0
TOK
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
ROA
1 - 1
FAG
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FAG
2 - 3
GAM
12%
19%
70%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FAG
1 - 2
GIF
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
TOC
1 - 1
MON
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
TOC
1 - 1
GAI
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
MIT
4 - 3
TOC
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIS
2 - 0
TOC
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
TOC
0 - 1
ROA
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |