Fagiano Okayama vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CON
2 - 0
FAG
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FAG
0 - 0
ROA
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FAG
0 - 1
YOK
37%
27%
35%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
EHI
0 - 1
FAG
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
KAT
2 - 0
FAG
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
OIT
1 - 4
TOC
76%
17%
7%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
TOC
0 - 1
CON
23%
26%
51%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TOC
0 - 0
KAR
15%
24%
62%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MIT
2 - 1
TOC
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
THE
3 - 2
TOC
61%
23%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |