Fagiano Okayama vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
EHI
0 - 0
FAG
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
FAG
0 - 3
SAG
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
TOK
1 - 0
FAG
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
FAG
2 - 3
ROA
35%
27%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
KAT
1 - 2
FAG
60%
23%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
TOC
0 - 3
TOK
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
AVI
1 - 0
TOC
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
TOC
1 - 3
CER
20%
24%
57%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
VEN
1 - 1
TOC
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
SHO
1 - 1
TOC
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |