Fagiano Okayama vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 0
FAG
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
JEF
3 - 1
FAG
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FAG
0 - 3
OIT
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FAG
0 - 1
KAM
61%
24%
15%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
TOK
3 - 3
FAG
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
THE
1 - 2
TOK
19%
25%
56%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TOK
4 - 1
THE
76%
17%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
THE
1 - 1
YOK
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MIT
4 - 0
THE
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MAT
3 - 0
THE
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |