Fagiano Okayama vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
FAG
1 - 1
TOK
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TOK
0 - 1
FAG
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MIT
0 - 0
FAG
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
FAG
0 - 1
EHI
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
REN
1 - 2
FAG
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
OMI
0 - 0
JEF
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
OMI
0 - 0
TOC
56%
24%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TOK
3 - 1
OMI
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
OMI
2 - 1
MIT
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
KYO
2 - 4
OMI
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |