Fagiano Okayama vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MIT
0 - 1
FAG
54%
26%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FAG
1 - 2
THE
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
JEF
1 - 0
FAG
65%
22%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FAG
0 - 0
KAT
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
AVI
2 - 0
FAG
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ROA
1 - 1
OIT
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
OIT
1 - 0
KAM
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
OIT
1 - 0
GIR
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MIT
2 - 1
OIT
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
OIT
1 - 2
FCY
20%
27%
53%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |