Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
TOK
2 - 2
FAG
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
FAG
3 - 0
GIR
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
FAG
65%
22%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FAG
1 - 0
YOK
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
JEF
2 - 1
FAG
81%
14%
5%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Mito Hollyhock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
MIT
3 - 0
KAT
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
TOC
0 - 0
MIT
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MIT
0 - 5
SAG
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
GAI
1 - 1
MIT
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MIT
0 - 0
ROA
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |