Fagiano Okayama vs Matsumoto Yamaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FAG
2 - 1
GIF
68%
19%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
FAG
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FAG
1 - 3
TOC
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
KYO
2 - 4
FAG
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FAG
2 - 0
TOK
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Matsumoto Yamaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MAT
4 - 3
THE
59%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 1
GAI
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
TOK
1 - 3
MAT
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
KAT
0 - 1
MAT
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MAT
3 - 2
JEF
27%
28%
45%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |