Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
THE
0 - 1
FAG
24%
29%
47%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
YOK
1 - 0
FAG
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FAG
3 - 2
REN
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GRU
1 - 3
FAG
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FAG
1 - 1
JEF
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
YOK
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
OMI
0 - 2
MAC
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
JEF
1 - 2
MAC
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
OIT
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
MAC
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |