Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
BLA
0 - 1
FAG
49%
28%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FAG
1 - 0
GIR
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
THE
1 - 0
FAG
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FAG
1 - 2
MIT
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
EHI
2 - 2
FAG
27%
29%
44%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 2
REN
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
OMI
0 - 1
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
3 - 0
RYK
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
VVA
0 - 3
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 1
KYO
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |