Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
FAG
2 - 2
MON
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 3
FAG
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MIT
3 - 0
FAG
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
FAG
2 - 2
AVI
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
JEF
1 - 0
FAG
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
EHI
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 3
FAG
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
TOC
0 - 0
MAC
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MAC
3 - 0
KAM
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 0
YOK
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |