Fagiano Okayama vs Kataller Toyama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
AVI
2 - 0
FAG
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FAG
1 - 3
KAT
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TOK
2 - 0
FAG
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FAG
2 - 0
GAI
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
THE
2 - 1
FAG
27%
30%
43%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
KAT
1 - 2
GIF
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FAG
1 - 3
KAT
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
KAT
0 - 1
YOK
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
TOK
1 - 2
KAT
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
KAT
2 - 1
MIT
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |