Fagiano Okayama vs Kataller Toyama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
CER
4 - 1
FAG
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
FAG
1 - 1
YOK
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
TOC
1 - 0
FAG
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FAG
1 - 1
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
SAG
0 - 0
FAG
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
KAT
1 - 2
MIT
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
KAT
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
KAT
0 - 1
TOK
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
KAT
1 - 0
THE
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
YOK
0 - 0
KAT
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |