Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 1
FAG
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FAG
2 - 1
MAT
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FAG
2 - 1
GIF
68%
19%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
FAG
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FAG
1 - 3
TOC
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
TOK
1 - 0
JEF
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
JEF
1 - 2
KYO
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
JEF
5 - 0
KAM
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
AVI
3 - 4
JEF
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
JEF
1 - 1
GIF
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |