Fagiano Okayama vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FAG
1 - 1
VVA
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
FAG
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FAG
2 - 1
TOC
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MIT
0 - 0
FAG
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
THE
1 - 0
FAG
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Giravanz Kitakyushu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 2
KAT
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 2
GIR
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 0
KAT
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 0
KYO
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
GIR
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |