Fagiano Okayama vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
TOK
2 - 3
FAG
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
FAG
0 - 1
THE
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
FAG
2 - 1
JEF
14%
24%
62%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
OIT
1 - 0
FAG
76%
17%
7%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
FAG
1 - 2
TOC
43%
27%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Giravanz Kitakyushu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
GIR
0 - 1
GIF
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
OIT
0 - 0
GIR
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
GIR
1 - 1
TOC
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
KAT
1 - 0
GIR
43%
26%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
GIR
0 - 3
JEF
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |