Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
62.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
VEG
1 - 0
FAG
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
FAG
0 - 1
SHO
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FAG
0 - 3
THE
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
TOK
3 - 0
FAG
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FAG
1 - 3
EHI
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
CER
2 - 2
TOK
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
TOK
2 - 2
CER
18%
22%
59%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
CER
4 - 1
AVI
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
ROA
0 - 3
CER
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CER
5 - 3
MIT
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |